Bracketology
Monday, May 7th, 2007This past week was an interesting one. First, I would like to thank all of those who checked over the AQs to make sure I had the right conferences. I would like to apologize to the North Atlantic and North Eastern Athletic for leaving them out the first time. Second, kudos to Ralph for catching the bid allocation error. Also this time, I used the NCAA rankings to assist me in selecting the Independent and At-Large qualifiers. I also made sure that the IQs and At-Larges had completed 32 games. It is amazing how much the records can be off from the ones I compile because coaches forget to report their scores to the NCAA database so the selection committee has all the information. So without further ado I give you the breakdown of the bids and then seed them in the tournament!
Automatic Qualifiers (33 Pool A)
Allegheny Mountain Collegiate Conference = Frostburg St (MD) (27-13)^
American Southwest Conference = TX Lutheran (32-8-1)
*Centennial Conference = Johns Hopkins (MD) (34-9)
College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin = Illinois Wesleyan (30-9)
*Commonwealth Coast Conference = Curry (MA) (27-7)
*Great Northeast Athletic Conference = Western New England (MA) (25-8)
Heartland Collegiate Athletic Conference = Translyvania (KY) (30-9)
Iowa Intercollegiate Athletic Conference = Wartburg (IA) (26-11)
Liberty League = Rensselaer (NY) (27-8)
Little East Conference = Eastern Connecticut (30-9)
*MAC Commonwealth Conference = Elizabethtown (PA) (21-15)
*MAC Freedom Conference = Wilkes (PA) (23-10)
*Massachusetts State College Athletic Conference = Westfield State (MA) (20-15)
*Michigan Intercollegiate Athletic Association = Hope (MI) (28-11)
*Midwest Conference = St. Norbert’s (WI) (24-8-1)
Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference = St. Olaf (MN) (27-6)^
New England Small College Athletic Conference = Tufts (MA) (22-9)
*New England Women’s and Men’s Athletic Conference = Wheaton (MA) (31-11)
New Jersey Athletic Conference = The College of New Jersey (31-8)
*North Atlantic Conference = St. Joseph’s (ME) (30-8)
North Coast Athletic Conference = Wooster (OH) (35-3)
*North Eastern Athletic Conference = Villa Julie (MD) (26-16)
*Northwest Conference = Pacific Lutheran (WA) (32-7)
Ohio Athletic Conference = Marietta (OH) (28-11)^
*Old Dominion Athletic Conference = Bridgewater (VA) (21-21)
*Pennsylvania Athletic Conference = Gwynedd Mercy (PA) (30-10)
*Skyline Conference = Manhattanville (NY) (23-17)
*Southern California Intercollegiate Athletic Conference = Pomona Pitzer (CA) (29-11)
*Southern Collegiate Athletic Conference = Austin College (TX) (22-23)
St. Louis Intercollegiate Athletic Conference = Webster (MO) (27-12)
*State University of New York Athletic Conference = SUNY-Cortland (35-4)
*USA South Athletic Conference = Ferrum (VA) (23-16)
Wisconsin Intercollegiate Athletic Conference = UW-Oshkosh (28-8)
*Conference Season Completed, team has secured automatic qualifier
^Tie in conference, best overall record taken
Independent Qualifiers (6 Pool B)
1. Chapman (CA) (35-5)
2. Emory (GA) (35-7)
3. Salisbury (MD) (30-7)
4. St. Scholastica (MN) (31-6)
5. Washington (MO) (30-9)
6. York (PA) (28-10)
At-Large Qualifiers (14 Pool C)
1. Kean (NJ) (33-7)
2. George Fox (OR) (23-9)
3. Ithaca (NY) (23-10
4. Otterbein (OH) (27-10)
5. TX-Dallas (32-11)
6. St. Thomas (MN) (26-9)
7. Luther (IA) (26-9)
8. Washington & Jefferson (PA) (26-6)
9. Methodist (NC) (28-11)
10. Rhodes College (TN) (36-10)
11. Trinity (CT) (28-6)
12. Augustana (IL) (29-10)
13. SUNY Brockport (24-15)
14. Mt. St. Joseph’s (OH) (30-9)
Groupings and Rankings for Tournament
Central
(1) IL Wesleyan
(2) Washington (MO)
(3) Augustana
(4) Rhodes
(5) Webster
(6) Hope
Mid-Atlantic
(1) The College of NJ
(2) Johns Hopkins
(3) Kean
(4) Gwynedd Mercy
(5) Wilkes
(6) Frostburg State
(7) Elizabethtown
Mideast
(1) Wooster
(2) Marietta
(3) Transylvania
(4) Otterbein
(5) Washington & Jefferson
(6) Mt. St. Joseph
Midwest
(1) St. Olaf
(2) UW-Oshkosh
(3) Wartburg
(4) St. Thomas
(5) Luther
(6) St. Scholastica
(7) St. Norbert
New England
(1) Eastern Connecticut
(2) Western New England
(3) Wheaton
(4) Tufts
(5) Curry
(6) St. Josephs (ME)
(7) Westfield State
New York
(1) Cortland State
(2) Rensselaer
(3) Ithaca
(4) Trinity
(5) SUNY Brockport
(6) Manhattanville
South
(1) Emory
(2) Salisbury
(3) York
(4) Methodist
(5) Ferrum
(6) Bridgewater
(7) Villa Julie
West
(1) Chapman
(2) TX Lutheran
(3) Pacific Lutheran
(4) George Fox
(5) Pomona Pitzer
(6) TX Dallas
(7) Austin College
Last Five In
Rhodes College (TN) (36-10)
Trinity (CT) (28-6)
Augustana (IL) (29-10)
SUNY Brockport (24-15)
Mt. St. Joseph’s (OH) (30-9)
Last Five Out
Carthage – Great week has them moving up the board
Thomas More – Losing 2 of 3 vs Washington & Jefferson haunts them
Ramapo – Not a good conference tourney run drops power ranking down to 9.25
Keene State – Two losses since last post, need a strong run in tourney to get in
SUNY Oneonta – quick exit in conference tourney dashes any hopes
Falling Out
Edgewood – Can’t go 2-2 for the week at home against teams behind you in conference
Averett – QOWI under 9 won’t get you in even with that record
Millsaps – Same as Averett
Keene State – See Above
Thomas More – See Above
King’s – Losing conference tournament hurts their cause
Arcadia – Same as King’s
Salve Regina – Had to win conference tourney after I calculated a power ranking under 9
La Roche – Gave Frostburg AQ currently due to better overall record, conference tourney win puts them in.
Moving In
Augustana – Strong finish making the early conference struggles disappear
Wilkes – Sweep through tourney for the conference’s AQ
Frostburg State – Better overall puts them in over La Roche, can’t wait to see them play in the tourney
Elizabethtown – Sweeping through tourney has Owls flying high
Transylvania – Regular season MCAC champ, should get in even if they lose tourney
St. Norberts – Going 3-1 vs Ripon puts them in the MWC driver seat
Ithaca – Flip a coin between them and York for the last IQ spot
SUNY Brockport – Power ranking of 9.8 makes the committee forget about the record
Methodist – Power ranking in the 9.8 range gets them in
Villa Julie – Keystone swept them in the championship, but get the AQ since Keystone is still provisional
NOTES
I ranked the IQs and At-Larges this time for some added discussion. Both Gwynedd Mercy and John’s Hopkins won 2 on the last day to get the conferences AQ. Two of the last five are sending them gifts as we speak. Lack of quality teams in the Midwest and Central could make for some interesting arrangements come tourney time. Mid-Atlantic is very strong as those top three teams would be a #1 seed in three other regions. Mt. St. Joseph is the only team I put in the tournament with an At-Large or IQ without being ranked by the committee. It is a strong region and finishing 1 game out from Translyvania should put them in. They probably should get to the conference tournament championship game to be safe. Otherwise I will put my money on Thomas More or Carthage getting the other spot. I hope everyone enjoys this week’s version. I might try to put one out next Sunday as well. Until then.
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