Clearing the bases
Wednesday, March 19th, 2008This week I want to talk about the Top 25 poll. The poll exists for several reasons. I believe that it is expected and probably more importantly, I felt the ABCA poll started too late in the season and needed to come out more than once twice a week. In cooperation with the NCWBA, voters were identified and with our preseason poll in January, the D3baseball.com.NCBWA Poll was born.
The start date was set to be the last weekend in February to capture most of a month of games in the South and West regions. By the last weekend in February, eight teams in the preseason poll had seen action. The number of teams playing have increased until this week (Week 4) where just a few teams have yet to see action due to a late spring break or a canceled game or two. I expect every team to have played a game by the end of next week.
The weekly voting starts after the games on Sunday and a short list of about 80 teams (85 are low interest payday loanno fax payday advance loan1 hour payday loan,payday loan in 1 hour,1 hour loan paydaypayday cash loanapplication loan online paydayquick payday loanpayday loan ukguaranteed no fax payday loanaccount loan payday savings,no teletrack payday loan with savings account,account loan payday people savingsadvance cash loan online paydayloan payday store,payday loan store in chicago,alabama loan payday storehassle free payday loan,free loan payday,free payday advance loanno fax payday loanadvance fax loan no paydayadvance cash loan loan paydayquick low interest payday loan,fax loan payday quick,loan payday quickfast easy payday loancash loan payday tilconsolidate payday loan debt,consolidate debt loan paydaybad credit loan payday,account bad credit loan payday savings,bad credit loan loan no payday personalpayday payday loan cash advance loan,advance cash cash loan loan payday quick,advance cash loan paydaycash til payday loanno faxing instant payday loanquick cash payday loanonline payday loan serviceeasy payday loansavings account payday loanapproval guaranteed loan paydayno checking account required payday loan,no checking account payday loan,account checking loan no paydaypayday loan best rate,best loan payday,best payday loan siteez payday loansonic payday loaninternet payday loan law,internet payday loan,internet loan paydayemergency payday loanfax loan missouri no paydayloan milwaukee payday storecalculator loan paydaypayday loan on linepayday loan canadacalgary payday loan,calgary loan paydaycanada payday loan online,loan online payday,fast online payday loanloan payday uk,payday loan uk,payday loan in the ukcash advance payday loan softwareall payday loan in canada only,canada loan payday,canada loan manitoba payday winnipegonline no fax payday loanaccount bank loan no paydaypayday loan on line,line loan payday30 day loan payday,30 day payday loanloan until paydaycash central loan payday on the current list) is sent to each voter. Essentially the weekly summary has the records of each team, the record for the week and games played against other teams on this list. Teams on the list always include those teams who have received votes and teams with good records. Occasionally a team not on the summary list will receive votes but that is rare. I hope it is that I have identified all the possible candidates.
Each voter has their own system in identifying how to rank teams. My ballot from last week is below:
1. Chapman (15-2)
2. Wooster (9-1)
3. Texas-Tyler (19-3)
4. New Jersey (9-2)
5. Cortland (5-2)
6. Salisbury (11-1)
7. Wisc-Oshkosh (3-0)
8. Carthage (3-0)
9. RPI (7-1)
10. Johns Hopkins (4-2)
11. Kean (9-3)
12. Augustana (9-2)
13. Otterbein (0-0)
14. Piedmont (16-3)
15. Trinity (Conn) (3-0)
16. Linfield (14-3)
17. Pomona-Pitzer (15-3)
18. Transylvania (9-1)
19. Ripon (8-1)
20. Redlands (14-6)
21. Christopher Newport (14-4)
22. Widener (12-2)
23. The University of the Ozarks (18-3)
24. Wesley (15-3)
25. Concordia (Ill) (9-1)
Twenty-one of my votes come from teams with a winning percentage of at least .750. Those four teams with records less than .750 include: Otterbein who is the lone team on my ballot without a game played; Cortland, Johns Hopkins, and Redlands all lost games and the more games they lost, the farther they dropped but started in the top half of the poll in Week 3. The eight teams I dropped from Week 3 were dropped also because they lost games but dropped off the top 25. Each of these teams were ranked no higher than 17th on my previous ballot. The only difference was St. Thomas. They won all their games last week but got squeezed out due to teams who I wanted to rank higher. The 25 teams I ranked are a combined 268-54 (.832)
When I actually started looking at teams to rank and I wanted to rank about 50 teams in my top 25. I was not alone in finding it difficult to reduce the list to just 25 teams. From that point I started looking for reasons not to consider a team. This gave me a shorter list but left me trying to decide which team has had the better season. I used my previous ballot as a guide since I used the same process the week before. As I moved teams up and down, I eventually came up with my list of the best 25. In just a few cases, you have games played against common teams to help guide who is ranked higher but these are not as common as one would like. I am kidding you to say that position Linfield and Pomona-Pitzer are in cannot be switched but I am comfortable in the knowledge is that this the place in the poll where I think they should appear. If I had a 26th vote, my vote would be for either St. Thomas (6-2) or Calvin (8-1).
Seven teams I ranked did not make the top 25. This is not unusual since more than half of the teams that received votes did not end in the top 25. The one thing I notice as the votes roll in, the top 25 becomes more and more stable. When the last vote is cast, there are just a few changes, if at all in the order of the top 25. The last thing to remember is that a poll is an opinion (with knowledge) and as such is an attempt to answer the question: Who is the best team? The ultimate decision on who is the best team for the season is decided where it should be - on the field.
