Archive for May 2nd, 2007

D-III bracketology

Wednesday, May 2nd, 2007

Lets hear your comments on who is going to be in and who is out.

rkwachholz39 starts us off with this post:

Okay everyone, I hope you are ready for some good water cooler talk. I am going to play D3 Bracketologist for the upcoming NCAA Tournament. All records and information is updated as of April 30, 2007 regarding records and conference standings. Also, any teams that have not completed 30 games to this point have been left off any potential Independent or At-Large Qualifiers. First, I will rundown the list of qualifiers. Then, I will give you my thoughts on placement and seeding. Here we go!

Automatic Qualifiers-I hope I have the right conferences (Pool A)
CCIW = Illinois Wesleyan (25-9)
IIAC = Wartburg (24-8)
SLIAC = Webster (25-10)
Centennial = Johns Hopkins (29-7)
MA Commonwealth = Lebanon Valley (20-16)
MA Freedom = King’s (26-9)
NJAC = Kean (30-6)
PennAC = Arcadia (24-9)
Heartland = Mt. St. Joseph (28-7)
MIAC = Hope (25-10)
North Coast = Wooster (35-3)
Ohio = Otterbein (24-7)
President’s = Washington & Jefferson (26-7)^
Midwest = St. Norbert’s (21-7)^
Minnesota = St. Olaf (25-4)
Wisconsin = UW-Oshkosh (26-8)
*NEWMAC = Wheaton (27-10)
*GNAC = Western New England (25-8)
Commonwealth Coast = Curry (23-7)
Little East = Eastern Connecticut (26-8)
NESCAC = Tufts (22-9)
MaSCAC = Westfield State (16-13)
City UNYAC = Mitchell College (15-7)^
State UNYAC = SUNY-Cortland (32-4)
Liberty = Rensselaer (23-8)
Skyline = Manhattanville (20-15)
Allegheny Mountain = La Roche (23-15)
*Old Dominion = Bridgewater (17-20)
* SCAC = Austin College (22-23)
*USA South = Ferrum (23-16)
American Southwest = TX Lutheran (32-8-1)
*Northwest = Pacific Lutheran (32-7)
*SCalIAC = Pomona Pitzer (26-10)

Independent Qualifiers (Pool B)
Univ of Washington (28-9)
St. Scholastica (29-5)
Salisbury (30-7)
Emory (35-7)
Chapman (32-5)

At-Large Qualifiers (Pool C)
Luther (24-7)
Edgewood (23-9)
College of New Jersey (28-8)
Gwynedd-Mercy (24-9)
Thomas More (23-7)
Univ of St. Thomas (24-9)
Salve Regina (23-9)
Keene State College (25-9)
Trinity (26-6)
York (28-9)
Rhodes College (36-10)
Millsaps (35-11)
Averett (31-12)
TX-Dallas (31-9)
George Fox (29-6)

*Conference Season Completed, team has secured automatic qualifier
^Tie in conference, best overall record taken

Groupings and Rankings for Tournament
Central
(1) Wartburg
(2) IL Wesleyan
(3) Rhodes
(4) Millsaps
(5) Luther
(6) U of Washington
(7) Webster

Mid-Atlantic
(1) Kean
(2) Johns Hopkins
(3) College of NJ
(4) Kings
(5) Arcadia
(6) Gwynedd-Mercy
(7) Lebanon Valley

Mideast
(1) Wooster
(2) Mt. St. Joseph
(3) Otterbein
(4) Washington & Jefferson
(5) Thomas More
(6) Hope

Midwest
(1) St. Olaf
(2) UW-Oshkosh
(3) St. Thomas
(4) St. Scholastica
(5) Edgewood
(6) St. Norbert

New England
(1) Eastern Connecticut
(2) Western New England
(3) Curry
(4) Trinity
(5) Wheaton
(6) Tufts
(7) Westfield State

New York
(1) Cortland State
(2) Rensselaer
(3) Keene State
(4) Salve Regina
(5) LaRoche College
(6) Manhattanville
(7) Mitchell College

South
(1) Emory
(2) Salisbury
(3) York
(4) Averett
(5) Ferrum
(6) Bridgewater

West
(1) Chapman
(2) TX Lutheran
(3) George Fox
(4) Pacific Lutheran
(5) TX Dallas
(6) Pomona Pitzer
(7) Austin College

Last Four In
Salve Regina
Edgewood College
Averett
Gwynedd Mercy

Last Five Out
SUNY Oneonta
Methodist
Ramapo
Augustana
Penn State Behrend

NOTES
I am an assistant coach in the Midwest, so much of the selections were based on winning percentages than looking at each schedule. I know the ratings index will factor in a lot. Only teams with winning percentages above .700 were considered for Independent and At-Large Qualifiers. I left out Keystone because I am not sure if they are still provisional. Williams College, St. Joseph’s (ME) could move in once they have played enough games. Austin College winning the SCAC created the opportunity for 3 SCAC teams to get in. Loses by Illinois Wesleyan, Johns Hopkins, Kean, Mt. St. Joseph, Wooster, St. Olaf, UW-Oshkosh, and SUNY Cortland would bump some of the last four in from the tournament. I will be back next Tuesday with the updated projection. Have fun with this!